\u51ef\u53d1\u4f53\u80b2\u4e70\u7403<\/a>\uff1a\u6307\u7684\u662f\u5e84\u5bb6\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u4e09\u6b21\u5347\u76d8\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4ece\u5e73\u76d8\u5230\u5e73\/\u534a\u76d8\uff0c\u518d\u5230\u534a\u76d8\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5e84\u5bb6\u80fd\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5c06\u534a\u7403\u76d8\u7ef4\u6301\u5f88\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u5c31\u5c5e\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u76d8\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5e84\u5bb6\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5c06\u534a\u7403\u76d8\u7ad9\u7a33\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u8d4c\u5f92\u5bf9\u4e0a\u76d8\u975e\u5e38\u770b\u597d\u3002\u8fd9\u65f6\u5e84\u5bb6\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u8d4c\u5f92\u5bf9\u4e0a\u76d8\u7684\u770b\u597d\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5f00\u76d8\u65f6\u4f1a\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u901a\u8fc7\u6b64\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u5347\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"http:\/\/kaifayl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/cd79486b4d8e4a70b066335831e00301.jpg\")
<\/p>\n
2. \u5c3e\u5347<\/h4>\n
\u6307\u7684\u662f\u5e84\u5bb6\u5728\u6536\u76d8\u524d\u7684\u4e00\u5c0f\u65f6\u5de6\u53f3\u5b8c\u6210\u4e09\u6b21\u5347\u76d8\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u5f00\u76d8\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u964d\u76d8\uff0c\u4f46\u4e34\u8fd1\u5c01\u76d8\u65f6\u5347\u56de\u539f\u6765\u7684\u76d8\u53e3\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6c34\u4f4d\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u76d8\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u822c\u9700\u8981\u7ed3\u5408\u8bd5\u76d8\u6cd5\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u662f\u8bd5\u76d8\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u5206\u6790\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5728\u6536\u76d8\u524d\u8fc5\u901f\u5347\u56de\u539f\u6765\u7684\u76d8\u53e3\u5e76\u4e14\u6c34\u4f4d\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5927\u5e84\u5728\u51fa\u8d27\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e8c\u3001\u964d\u76d8\u6cd5<\/h3>\n1. \u4e00\u76f4\u964d<\/h4>\n
\u5373\u8d54\u7387\u56fe\u663e\u793a\u6709\u4e09\u6b21\u7684\u964d\u76d8\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4ece\u4e00\u7403\u76d8\u964d\u5230\u534a\/\u4e00\u76d8\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5e94\u8be5\u4e70\u4e0b\u76d8\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5e84\u5bb6\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u964d\u76d8\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u8868\u660e\u4e0a\u76d8\u7684\u8ddf\u98ce\u8005\u8f83\u5c11\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u53ea\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u518d\u6b21\u964d\u76d8\u6765\u5438\u5f15\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u4e70\u4e0a\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n
2. \u5148\u964d\u540e\u5347<\/h4>\n
\u5f00\u76d8\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u964d\u76d8\uff0c\u4f46\u4e34\u8fd1\u5c01\u76d8\u65f6\u5347\u56de\u539f\u6765\u7684\u76d8\u53e3\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6c34\u4f4d\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u76d8\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u822c\u90fd\u8981\u7ed3\u5408\u8bd5\u76d8\u6cd5\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u662f\u8bd5\u76d8\u5c31\u8981\u5206\u6790\u4e00\u4e0b\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u4e86\uff0c\u6536\u76d8\u524d\u5f88\u5feb\u5347\u56de\u539f\u6765\u7684\u76d8\u53e3\u5e76\u4e14\u6c34\u4f4d\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5927\u5e84\u5728\u51fa\u8d27\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u8fd0\u4f5c<\/h3>\n\u4e00\u3001\u6982\u5ff5\u6f84\u6e05<\/h4>\n
\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u641e\u6e05\u695a\u4e00\u4e9b\u6982\u5ff5\u3002\u5728\u5e73\u65e5\u7684\u4e0b\u6ce8\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u901a\u5e38\u53c2\u4e0e\u7684\u662f\u8ba9\u7403\u76d8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0e\u5e84\u5bb6\u5bf9\u6297\u7684\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u73a9\u5bb6\u3002\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u81ea\u62bd\u4f63\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u6765\u81ea\u6ce2\u80c6\u3001\u9996\u540d\u5165\u7403\u8005\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u6295\u6ce8\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0e\u8ba9\u7403\u76d8\u4e0d\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\u8ba9\u7403\u76d8\u73a9\u5bb6\u975e\u8d62\u5219\u8f93\uff0c\u800c\u6ce2\u80c6\u7b49\u9879\u76ee\u5219\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u6295\u6ce8\u53ea\u4f1a\u5bf9\u73a9\u5bb6\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e8c\u3001\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u76ee\u7684<\/h4>\n
\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u9519\u8bef\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5e84\u5bb6\u4e0d\u65ad\u8c03\u6574\u8d54\u7387\u6216\u8ba9\u7403\uff0c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e73\u8861\u4e0a\u4e0b\u76d8\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\u3002\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u60f3\u5236\u9020\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u5373\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u6574\u8d54\u7387\u6216\u8ba9\u7403\u6765\u523a\u6fc0\u4e00\u65b9\u8d4c\u5ba2\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f7f\u603b\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u603b\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u62bd\u4f63\u4e5f\u5c31\u8d8a\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e09\u3001\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u89d2\u8272<\/h4>\n
\u5e84\u5bb6\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e73\u8861\u4e0a\u4e0b\u76d8\u7684\u6295\u6ce8\u989d\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u4e89\u593a\u8d4c\u5ba2\u7684\u94b1\u3002\u8d4c\u5ba2\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e92\u76f8\u5bf9\u8d4c\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u53ea\u662f\u4e2d\u95f4\u4eba\uff0c\u6536\u5165\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u62bd\u53d6\u80dc\u65b9\u7684\u4f63\u91d1\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u6fb3\u95e8\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u8fd8\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u535a\u5f69\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u90fd\u4f7f\u7528\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u7ecf\u8425\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8db3\u7403\u76d8\u53e3\u8d54\u7387\u77e5\u8bc6\u5168\u89e3\u6790<\/h3>\n\u4e00\u3001\u5e73\u624b\u76d8\u548c\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u6ce8<\/h4>\n
\u5e73\u624b\u76d8\uff08No Goal Handicap\uff09\u4e0e\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u6ce8\u662f\u540c\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\u3002\u5728\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u6ce8\u4e2d\uff0c\u73a9\u5bb6\u628a\u8d4c\u6ce8\u62bc\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u671f\u671b\u80fd\u8d62\u7684\u7403\u961f\u4e0a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6bd4\u8d5b\u4ee5\u5e73\u5c40\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u62ff\u56de\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0b\u7684\u8d4c\u6ce8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e73\u5c40\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8d4c\u6ce8\u5c06\u88ab\u5168\u989d\u9000\u8fd8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5e73\u624b\u76d8\u6bd4\u8d5b\u7ed3\u675f\u5e73\u5c40\u7684\u673a\u7387\u5f88\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e8c\u3001\u8d54\u7387\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h4>\n
\u4f7f\u7528\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u8d54\u7387\uff08\u5341\u8fdb\u5236\u5f0f\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0b\u516c\u5f0f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e3b\u573a\u80dc\u3001\u5e73\u5c40\u6216\u5ba2\u573a\u80dc\u7684\u8d54\u7387\uff1a \u4e3b\u573a\u8d54\u7387 = (1 – p0) \/ p1 \u5ba2\u573a\u8d54\u7387 = (1 – p0) \/ p2 \u5176\u4e2d\uff0cp1\u662f\u4e3b\u573a\u80dc\u7684\u673a\u7387\uff0cp0\u662f\u5e73\u624b\u7684\u673a\u7387\uff0cp2\u662f\u5ba2\u573a\u80dc\u7684\u673a\u7387\u3002\u00a0![\"\"](\"http:\/\/kaifayl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/e19aad959054447289b1dd86409778be.jpg\")
<\/p>\n
\u51ef\u53d1\u4f53\u80b2\u4e70\u7403<\/h3>\n
\u5728\u51ef\u53d1\u4f53\u80b2\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u636e\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5347\u964d\u76d8\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u8fd0\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fdb\u884c\u5408\u7406\u7684\u4e70\u7403\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u7406\u89e3\u8d54\u7387\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u673a\u5236\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u5728\u4f53\u80b2\u6295\u6ce8\u4e2d\u7684\u80dc\u7387\u548c\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7ed3\u675f\u8bed<\/h2>\n
\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5c31\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u5347\u964d\u76d8\u7406\u8bba\u3001\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u8fd0\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u4ee5\u53ca\u8db3\u7403\u76d8\u53e3\u8d54\u7387\u77e5\u8bc6\u7684\u5168\u9762\u89e3\u6790\u3002\u5e0c\u671b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5185\u5bb9\u80fd\u591f\u5e2e\u52a9\u60a8\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u4f53\u80b2\u8d4c\u7403\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u548c\u6280\u5de7\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\u53d6\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u6210\u7ee9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u7591\u95ee\u6216\u9700\u8981\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u8bf7\u968f\u65f6\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u7aed\u8bda\u4e3a\u60a8\u63d0\u4f9b\u5e2e\u52a9\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u5347\u964d\u76d8\u7406\u8bba \u4e00\u3001\u5347\u76d8\u6cd5 1. \u5934\u5347 \u51ef\u53d1\u4f53\u80b2\u4e70\u7403\uff1a\u6307\u7684\u662f\u5e84\u5bb6\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u4e09\u6b21\u5347\u76d8\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4ece\u5e73\u76d8\u5230\u5e73\/\u534a\u76d8\uff0c\u518d […]\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":225,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\n
\u51ef\u53d1\u4f53\u80b2\u4e70\u7403\uff1a\u8db3\u7403\u76d8\u53e3\u8d54\u7387\u77e5\u8bc6\u5168\u89e3\u6790\uff0c\u5347\u964d\u76d8\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u8fd0\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kaifayl.com\/index.php\/2024\/02\/22\/\u51ef\u53d1\u4f53\u80b2\u4e70\u7403\uff1a\u8db3\u7403\u76d8\u53e3\u8d54\u7387\u77e5\u8bc6\u5168\u89e3\u6790\uff0c\u5347\u964d\u76d8\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u51ef\u53d1\u4f53\u80b2\u4e70\u7403\uff1a\u8db3\u7403\u76d8\u53e3\u8d54\u7387\u77e5\u8bc6\u5168\u89e3\u6790\uff0c\u5347\u964d\u76d8\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5e84\u5bb6\u7684\u8fd0\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u5347\u964d\u76d8\u7406\u8bba \u4e00\u3001\u5347\u76d8\u6cd5 1. 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